Alphagbm Polymarket · AlphaGBM/skills
Compare prediction market odds with options pricing
Compares a prediction market's probability for an event, like a rate cut or election outcome, with the probability implied by options pricing, highlighting gaps between the two and related positioning to consider, without predicting which market is right.
Good for
- Compare rate-cut odds across prediction markets and options
- Scan for gaps between event odds and options pricing
- Review historical accuracy of prediction markets vs options
- Source repository
- AlphaGBM/skills
- Category
- General
Open-source skills are maintained by their authors and listed as published, with attribution. Results depend on how well the skill fits your task and material.
A good place to start
How do Polymarket's odds for the next Fed rate cut compare with what options prices are implying?
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